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Nature and Space · 5 min read · easy read

Why Hasn't Anyone Gone to Mars Yet? Machines, Money, or a Trip With No Return?

In 2016 SpaceX said it would send an updated Dragon, named Red Dragon, to Mars by the end of the decade 1, and the Mars timelines that followed have repeatedly slipped 62.

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In short

SpaceX built its Raptor engine to use a fuel that could be made on Mars. That means a trip back to Earth could be possible. The Merlin engine on Falcon rockets can't do that 3. In 2017, a Falcon 9 first stage was flown a second time. This met the company's reuse goal 6. Starship was designed to be fully reusable. The goal is to cut the cost of carrying each tonne of cargo, compared with Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy 7. The Soyuz rocket has had only two incidents where people died. It has also had two incidents where the mission was lost 26. The crew's risk can last about three hours before and during launch. This starts after the crew gets on the spacecraft 30. In 2013, Mars One got applications from 202,586 people 55. Before its bankruptcy, it had cut its list down to 100 names 56. Mars One is now in administration. Its goal to launch to Mars in 2031 is no longer being pursued 59. The Brine Processor Assembly on the ISS has run for almost four years. That is well past its planned one-year test 15. As of February 2025, it had recovered an estimated 1087 kg of water from urine brine 21. As of May 2025, Musk gave a 50-50 chance of meeting the 2026 deadline for the first uncrewed Starship mission to Mars. He said SpaceX would wait another two years if it was not ready 2.

A Reusable Spaceship Still in Planning

The Raptor engine was built to use a fuel that could be made on Mars. So a trip back to Earth would be possible. This is not true for the Merlin engine on Falcon rockets 3.

SpaceX said it will send an updated Dragon, named Red Dragon, to Mars by the end of the decade 1. Musk called the Red Dragon Mars mission the first test flight for Dragon's ability to land on other planets 5. The ITS was designed to be 122 m tall 4. It could carry up to 550 t of cargo to a low orbit around Earth 4.

The first stage used for CRS-8 in April 2016 flew the SES-10 mission on 30 March 2017. This reached the reuse goal for Falcon 9 first stages 6. Starship was designed with the aim of full reusability 7. The aim was to greatly lower transport costs for each tonne of cargo, compared with Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy 7.

Getting Off the Ground, and What It Might Cost

The Soyuz-11 crew died in 1971. They were given a state funeral. Their urns with ashes were placed in small spaces in the Kremlin Wall 51. A paper mentions a Soyuz incident in 1983. It is the most recent one the paper mentions 29. The Soyuz rocket has had only two incidents where people died in over 40 years 26.

Experts try to put numbers on risk. In the Space Shuttle risk study, human error was an important part of the risk, about 12 percent of the risk of losing the crew or the vehicle 27. NASA's goals for how reliable its next crewed rocket should be are several times higher than the Shuttle's. They may be higher than the Soyuz's too 31.

Launch carries risk. Once the crew is on board, the risk lasts about three hours before and during launch 30. NASA's risk experts count thousands of possible abort scenarios 32. Orion is built to carry up to four crew, and later it could carry six. It is meant to bring them safely home to Earth 33. Living for months in cramped quarters is tolerable, as on the International Space Station, but it is not comfortable 34.

Mars on Paper and the Idea of a One-Way Trip

A Mars mission study gave the crew no way to cut the trip short and head home much sooner. No more supplies could be sent 41. Mars-96 was an automatic station with no crew on board, so no one could decide to turn back 39. It never got onto its path to Mars, because a part of its rocket failed. The spacecraft fell back into Earth's air about 5 hours after launch 42.

In 2005, the workshop authors still expected humans to go to Mars within the first several decades of the 21st century 64. The main view was that robots would not match human observation and decision-making in that time frame 65. The authors concluded that a crew of both women and men is the right choice for a future first human mission to Mars 35. They also argued that good crew behavior comes from good surroundings, not from people who are just good 36.

The one-way idea drew a crowd. After a journal published a one-way Mars trip plan, its editors got more than 500 emails from people who wanted to be the first to live on Mars 44. The people who wrote in included students, soldiers, police officers, nurses, and space fans 46. Many of them said they had no training for this at all, but they still added their names to the list 48. In 2013, Mars One got applications from 202,586 people. The list was cut down to 1,058 finalists 55. One applicant, Joseph Sweeney, said he would go even if the odds were 99-to-1 against surviving the two-year trip 45. Researchers say that in deep space, if the systems that keep people alive fail, the crew likely cannot go back to Earth or reach a safe place. Near Earth and the Moon, a quick return is possible 40.

Mars One's Troubles and the Question of Consent

Mars One had recently cut its list of applicants down to 100 names. It planned to cut the list even more before full-time training 56. The training was planned for a remote place. Astronauts would practice living in and fixing a home like one built for Mars 57. The report does not say this training began 57. Delays and setbacks pushed the launch deadline back by nearly 10 years. The first target had been a landing in 2023 58. Mars One then went into administration and was at risk of being shut down. Its goal of launching to Mars in 2031 was no longer being pursued 59.

For trips to Mars, one argument says an astronaut may not be able to quit. The distances in space and the way the planets line up might make it impossible to get back to Earth outside the planned time 37. Another argument says astronaut candidates, after they are picked and trained, are hard to say they do not know about the risks of spaceflight. So they can be seen as agreeing to those risks 38.

Deep space is far beyond the space near Earth. It brings many risks at once to the nervous system. These risks may hurt how well astronauts work and how they feel 25. The abstract does not say whether astronauts accept these risks 25. It also does not say how space agencies describe them 25.

Small Steps on Recycling Water

Water recovery has a long test history. A 1991 water recovery test described in one paper was a ground test at the Marshall Space Flight Center, not an operation on the International Space Station 11. The Water Recovery System was first installed temporarily in the Destiny module in November 2008 and later moved to Tranquility in February 2010 24. In 2018 the Advanced Closed Loop System, sent up as a demonstrator planned for one to two years, proved successful and stayed aboard permanently 14.

The Brine Processor Assembly was built by Paragon Space Development Corporation. It was meant to be a one-year test 12. It has run on the space station for almost four years 15. That is much longer than planned. As of February 2025, it had done 60 full runs over 864 days. It had gotten back about 1087 kg of water from urine 21. The water is estimated to save about $81 million. That is after taking away the cost of supplies, like bladders and odor filters 23.

Not everything has gone smoothly. The Urine Processor Assembly was first meant to get back 85% of the water. Engineers changed the goal to 70% 17. The carbon dioxide reactor slowly got worse over the years 20. On the ground, a unit of the Primary Urine Processor, based on the BPA design, handled 314 liters of urine over 4 months. It got back 99.5% of the water 16.

Still unknown

Can the bone, muscle, immune, and brain strains be reduced enough for a multi-year round trip? The checked evidence describes these risks but does not show whether they can be lowered to acceptable levels.

Would a crew ever be allowed to turn back, and who would decide? The checked evidence contains no documented debate on one-way Mars missions beyond the 2005 workshop view [11], so the moral question is thin in these sources.

Will SpaceX's 2026 and later Mars windows hold, given the documented pattern of slipped dates? The sources describe the pattern but cannot say which future dates will be met [7][8].

Propulsion and life support, including oxygen, water, food, power, and heavy landings, are thinly covered in the checked evidence, so the engineering limits there remain largely unsettled.

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Sources

[1] supported · established source
Mars One attracted applications from 202,586 people in 2013, and the list was then cut down to 1,058 finalists who went through several more rounds of reductions.
"In 2013, the space venture attracted applications from 202,586 people in just five months, drawing interest from some 140 countries. The list was cut down to 1,058 finalists — who then went through several more rounds of reductions."
mars one fizzles into bankruptcy after promising a new life in space
[2] supported · established source
Before its bankruptcy, Mars One had recently narrowed its applicant list to 100 names, with plans to reduce it further before starting full-time training.
"The company had recently whittled down its large application list of would-be Martians to 100 names, with plans to reduce it further before starting full-time training."
mars one fizzles into bankruptcy after promising a new life in space
[3] supported · established source
The planned training was to take place in a remote location where selected astronauts could practice living in and repairing a Mars-style habitat, but the document does not report that this training began.
"The Mars One astronauts were to be "sequestered in a remote location," the company had said, where they could practice living in (and repairing) a habitat like one designed for life on Mars."
mars one fizzles into bankruptcy after promising a new life in space
[4] supported · established source
Mars One delayed its launch deadline by nearly 10 years due to delays and setbacks, and its original target was a 2023 landing.
"Delays and setbacks forced the company to push its launch deadline back by nearly 10 years."
mars one fizzles into bankruptcy after promising a new life in space
[5] supported · established source
Mars One went into administration and was at risk of liquidation, so its 2031 Mars launch goal was no longer being pursued.
"Now, instead of moving toward its goal of launching a Mars mission in 2031, the company "is in administration," according to its website"
mars one fizzles into bankruptcy after promising a new life in space
[6] supported · established source
SpaceX's plan targets the 2030-2031 transfer window as the point when it would start sending humans to Mars, with 100 landers carrying 150 tons per ship.
"2030-2031 transfer window, where SpaceX intends to start sending humans to Mars. In this window, SpaceX wants 100 landers with 150 tons per ship to deliver, people, equipment for road and pad construction, habitat construction, and to increase the available power and storage capacity of what would be a Mars colony at this point."
The Future of the Starship Program, Block 3 and Mars - NASASpaceFlight.com
[7] supported · established source
The article's author says SpaceX's Mars goals are very ambitious and that some of them will likely slip by a transfer window or two.
"These are very ambitious goals for SpaceX, as nothing like this has ever been attempted in human history. Some of these goals will likely be pushed back by a transfer window or two."
The Future of the Starship Program, Block 3 and Mars - NASASpaceFlight.com
[8] supported · niche source
The article describes a repeated pattern in which Musk's Mars timelines slipped, with each announced date passing without the mission.
"The pattern across the eight-year sequence is roughly consistent: Musk announces an ambitious Mars timeline approximately five years in advance, SpaceX makes substantial but not complete progress on the prerequisite technologies, the announced date arrives without the mission, and a new target is announced for the next transfer window."
Five uncrewed Starship rockets are projected to launch toward Mars during the brief window in late 2026 when the two planets align for the closest possible journey — and depending on whether they arri
[9] supported · niche source
The next Mars transfer window opens in November 2026 and closes in December, and missing it means waiting over two years.
"The next Mars transfer window opens in November 2026 and closes in December."
SpaceX Starship 2026 Launch Schedule: Orbital Payload, Moon Landers, and Mars Window
[10] supported · primary source
As of the 2005 workshop report, its authors expected humans to travel to Mars sometime within the first several decades of the 21st century.
"Sometime within the first several decades of this 21st century, humans will likely venture to Mars, back to the Moon, and possibly to other locations within our solar system."
Planetary Protection Issues in the Human Exploration of Mars (2003)
[11] documented · primary source
The workshop report said the predominant view was that robots would not match human observation and decision-making within the expected time frame of a first human Mars mission.
"the predominant viewpoint is still that a later human exploration phase, conducted in conjunction with accompanying robotic equipment, will bring powers of observation and decision making not anticipated from robots within the expected time frame of a first human mission to Mars."
Planetary Protection Issues in the Human Exploration of Mars (2003)
[12] documented · scholarly source
Almost 20% of the case reports evaluated did not comply with journal policies on documenting consent to publish.
"Almost 20% of articles evaluated did not comply with journal policies on documenting consent, and, in an additional 30%, it was not possible to document compliance because journal policies did not require documentation within the manuscript."
Patient and family consent for publication: A bibliographic and ethical analysis of recent case reports from a single institution (2025)
[13] documented · primary source
The FDA guidance does not establish any rights for any person and is not binding on FDA or the public.
"It does not establish any rights for any person and is not binding on FDA or the public."
Informed Consent: Guidance for Institutional Review Boards, Clinical Investigators, and Sponsors; Availability (Health and Human Services Department, Food and Drug Administration, 2023-08-16)
[14] documented · primary source
For an IRB to waive or alter informed consent for minimal risk clinical investigations, the rule requires the IRB to find and document five criteria.
"For an IRB to approve a waiver or alteration of informed consent requirements for minimal risk clinical investigations, the rule requires an IRB to find and document five criteria"
Institutional Review Board Waiver or Alteration of Informed Consent for Minimal Risk Clinical Investigations (Health and Human Services Department, Food and Drug Administration, 2023-12-21)
[15] documented · scholarly source
For an additional 30% of the case reports, compliance with consent policies could not be documented because the journals did not require consent to be documented within the manuscript.
"in an additional 30%, it was not possible to document compliance because journal policies did not require documentation within the manuscript."
Patient and family consent for publication: A bibliographic and ethical analysis of recent case reports from a single institution (2025)
[16] supported · primary source
The guidance is aimed at institutional review boards, clinical investigators, and sponsors in carrying out their informed consent responsibilities, and the notice does not mention volunteers' families.
"intended to assist IRBs, clinical investigators, and sponsors"
Informed Consent: Guidance for Institutional Review Boards, Clinical Investigators, and Sponsors; Availability (Health and Human Services Department, Food and Drug Administration, 2023-08-16)
[17] documented · primary source
FDA chose not to require, under the waiver provision, that investigators obtain consent from subjects or their legally authorized representatives (LARs) when feasible.
"FDA is not including a requirement in Sec. 50.22 that the investigator obtain consent from subjects or LARs if feasible"
Institutional Review Board Waiver or Alteration of Informed Consent for Minimal Risk Clinical Investigations (Health and Human Services Department, Food and Drug Administration, 2023-12-21)
[18] supported · scholarly source
The document says that the death of a research participant makes obtaining new consent impracticable.
"Seemingly, the death of a research participant renders new consent ‘‘impracticable’’."
La recherche internationale en génétique et l’utilisation secondaire des données : entre dissociation et harmonisation (2015)
[19] documented · primary source
Waivers or alterations of informed consent are meant only for situations where the investigation cannot practicably be carried out as designed without the waiver or alteration.
"Waivers or alterations of informed consent under Sec. 50.22 are intended for situations where it is impracticable to carry out the clinical investigation, as designed, without the waiver or alteration."
Institutional Review Board Waiver or Alteration of Informed Consent for Minimal Risk Clinical Investigations (Health and Human Services Department, Food and Drug Administration, 2023-12-21)
[20] supported · scholarly source
Minors cannot legally consent to research participation, so parental consent is required for them to join a trial.
"Minors cannot consent to research participation by law, requiring parental consent, and participation must be fully voluntary without affecting access to standard care."
Ethics of Puberty Blocker Policy: Consent, Evidence, and Clinical Justice (2025)
[21] supported · scholarly source
Research using deceased individuals' data is not directly addressed by the guidelines, but it falls under the third waiver criterion because death makes new consent impracticable.
"Although the particular case of research with deceased individuals’ data is not directly addressed, it would be covered by the third criteria, above, since death makes obtaining new consent impracticable."
La recherche internationale en génétique et l’utilisation secondaire des données : entre dissociation et harmonisation (2015)
[22] supported · primary source
The emergency research rule (Sec. 50.24) requires IRB approval of consent procedures and a consent document used to obtain consent from a subject or LAR when feasible, which the waiver rule does not mirror.
"that provision requires IRB approval of informed consent procedures and an informed consent document that are to be used to obtain consent from a subject or LAR, when feasible."
Institutional Review Board Waiver or Alteration of Informed Consent for Minimal Risk Clinical Investigations (Health and Human Services Department, Food and Drug Administration, 2023-12-21)
[23] supported · scholarly source
Because minors cannot consent to take part in research, their parents must consent on their behalf.
"But they cannot consent to take part in research. parents will have to consent on their behalf."
Ethics of Puberty Blocker Policy: Consent, Evidence, and Clinical Justice (2025)
[24] supported · scholarly source
Under CIOMS guidance, an ethics committee may waive some or all elements of informed consent only when the research involves no more than minimal risk and individual informed consent would make the research impracticable.
"A requirement of individual informed consent would make the conduct of the research impracticable[33]."
La recherche internationale en génétique et l’utilisation secondaire des données : entre dissociation et harmonisation (2015)
[25] supported · reference source
Chang'e 8 was originally scheduled to launch around 2029 to the lunar south pole, where it was to form a basic lunar south pole research station together with Chang'e 7.
"原计划于2029年前后发射,在 月球南极 莫顿环形山 ( 英语 : Mons Mouton ) [ 註 2 ] 着陆,与 嫦娥七号 组成中国 月球南极 的科研站基本型。"
Translation: It was originally planned to launch around 2029 and land at Mons Mouton on the lunar south pole, forming with Chang'e 7 the basic type of China's lunar south pole research station.
嫦娥八号
[26] supported · reference source
Chang'e 8 was the first Chinese probe in the construction phase of the International Lunar Research Station.
"嫦娥八号也是 国际月球科研站 建设阶段中国方面的第一个探测器"
Translation: Chang'e 8 was also China's first probe in the construction phase of the International Lunar Research Station.
嫦娥八号
[27] supported · established source
Japan's JAXA says its Phobos mission will test whether Phobos can serve as a 'natural space station,' a capability it calls essential for crewed Mars exploration.
"JAXA said the mission will also explore the possibility of using Phobos as a "natural space station" by establishing the requirements for a round trip—something "essential for crewed Mars exploration.""
Japan to launch world-first mission to moon of Mars
[28] supported · established source
The United States and China are both considering sending astronauts to Mars, alongside other unnamed countries.
"The Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency's launch of the spacecraft Tuesday on a new Japanese mainstay H-3 rocket comes as the United States, China and others consider sending astronauts to Mars."
Japan to launch spacecraft on a mission to get samples from a Martian moon
[29] supported · established source
China plans to launch its own Mars sample return mission in 2028; the article does not describe it as crewed.
"China plans to launch its own Mars sample return mission in 2028."
Japan launches unprecedented mission to bring back samples from Mars' moon Phobos
[30] supported · established source
Japan's MMX mission is uncrewed, but it could help lay the groundwork for eventual human exploration of Mars.
"The uncrewed Martian Moons eXploration (MMX) probe, a collaboration with US and European space agencies, as well as numerous universities and tech companies, could also help lay the groundwork for eventual human exploration."
Japan prepares historic Mars mission - Taipei Times
[31] supported · established source
Japan's MMX mission is hoped to lay groundwork for eventual human exploration of Mars, but it is an unmanned sample-return mission rather than a crewed one.
"Those involved hope that it will help lay the groundwork for eventual human exploration."
Japan to launch world-first mission to moon of Mars
[32] supported · established source
Japan's MMX mission is framed as groundwork for a future crewed Mars mission, with Phobos possibly serving as a base for crews.
"scientists to consider using a Martian moon as a base for a future crewed mission to the planet"
Japan to launch spacecraft on a mission to get samples from a Martian moon
[33] supported · established source
JAXA says MMX would test whether Phobos could serve as a 'natural space station' for a round trip to Mars, which it calls essential for crewed Mars exploration.
"The mission would also explore the possibility of using Phobos as a “natural space station” by establishing the requirements for a round trip to Mars — something “essential for crewed Mars exploration,” JAXA said."
Japan prepares historic Mars mission - Taipei Times
[34] supported · established source
Japan and China are both targeting 2031 for returning samples from the Martian system, so they could end up close in that race.
"Japan and China could end up neck and neck in returning samples from the Martian system, as both are targeting 2031."
Japan launches unprecedented mission to bring back samples from Mars' moon Phobos
[35] supported · established source
China's Tianwen-3 is scheduled to launch around 2028 and aims to return Mars samples to Earth as early as 2031, a robotic sample-return goal rather than a crewed one.
"China's Tianwen-3 spacecraft is scheduled for launch around 2028 and hopes to return Mars samples to Earth as early as 2031—potentially before the Japanese mission's return."
Japan to launch world-first mission to moon of Mars
[36] supported · established source
Japan's MMX spacecraft carries a Japanese radiation monitor intended to collect data that can help future crewed Mars exploration.
"that can help future crewed Mars exploration."
Japan to launch spacecraft on a mission to get samples from a Martian moon
[37] supported · established source
China has announced its Tianwen-3 spacecraft, a robotic sample-return mission, for launch around 2028, with Mars sample return to Earth possibly as early as 2031.
"Meanwhile, China has announced its Tianwen-3 spacecraft is scheduled for launch in about 2028 and hopes to return Mars samples to Earth as early as 2031 — potentially before MMX."
Japan prepares historic Mars mission - Taipei Times
[38] supported · established source
The United States and China have both been competing to be first to bring rock samples from the Martian surface back to Earth.
"U.S. and Chinese space agencies have also been vying to be the first to return rock samples from Mars' surface back to Earth."
Japan to launch world-first mission to moon of Mars
[39] supported · established source
Japan's MMX is a robotic sample-return mission rather than a crewed one, since only its third module returns to Earth carrying the samples.
"Only the third module will return home, with the samples stored in a capsule."
Japan to launch spacecraft on a mission to get samples from a Martian moon
[40] supported · primary source
Staying longer in outer space will inevitably increase astronauts' health risks from galactic cosmic rays and solar particle events.
"Staying longer in outer space will inevitably increase the health risks of astronauts due to the exposures to galactic cosmic rays and solar particle events."
Consequences of space radiation on the brain and cardiovascular system. (J Environ Sci Health C Toxicol Carcinog, 2021)
[41] documented · primary source
Microgravity and galactic cosmic radiation are spaceflight stressors that can disrupt or adversely affect immune cell biology.
"can disrupt or adversely affect immune cell biology"
Astroimmunology: the effects of spaceflight and its associated stressors on the immune system. (Nat Rev Immunol, 2026 Mar)
[42] documented · primary source
Simulated deep-space galactic cosmic radiation damaged cells, and blocking three microRNAs reduced the resulting inflammation and DNA double-strand breaks.
"Significant reduction of inflammation and DNA double strand breaks (DSBs) activity and rescue of mitochondria functions are observed after antagomir treatment."
Space radiation damage rescued by inhibition of key spaceflight associated miRNAs. (Nat Commun, 2024 Jun 11)
[43] supported · primary source
Radiation exposure may harm crews during the mission and later, when slow-developing adverse effects could appear.
"Exposure may pose a significant hazard to space flight crews not only during the mission but also later, when slow-developing adverse effects could finally become apparent."
Consequences of space radiation on the brain and cardiovascular system. (J Environ Sci Health C Toxicol Carcinog, 2021)
[44] supported · scholarly source
Six months of microgravity on the International Space Station is associated with a 5.3–9.0% reduction in paraspinal muscle cross-sectional area.
"International Space Station (ISS) datasets establish that 6-month microgravity exposure produces a 5.3–9.0% reduction in paraspinal cross-sectional area"
PARASPINAL MUSCLE ATROPHY AND INTERVERTEBRAL DISC DEGENERATION UNDER LONG-DURATION MICROGRAVITY: IMPLICATIONS FOR HUMAN MISSIONS TO MARS (2025)
[45] supported · primary source
Spaceflight alters interactions between the host and its microbiome, which can increase susceptibility to opportunistic pathogens and viral reactivation.
"spaceflight alters host-microbiome interactions"
Astroimmunology: the effects of spaceflight and its associated stressors on the immune system. (Nat Rev Immunol, 2026 Mar)
[46] documented · primary source
Genes and pathways affected by the microRNA-blocking treatment also change in astronauts, based on data from the NASA Twin Study, Inspiration4, and JAXA missions.
"Using data from astronaut participants in the NASA Twin Study, Inspiration4, and JAXA missions, we reveal the genes and pathways implicated in the action of these antagomirs are altered in humans."
Space radiation damage rescued by inhibition of key spaceflight associated miRNAs. (Nat Commun, 2024 Jun 11)
[47] documented · primary source
Animal and cellular studies have repeatedly shown that high-energy charged particles harm the brain and cognitive function.
"Numerous animal and cellular models have repeatedly demonstrated the negative effects of high-energy charged-particle on the brain and cognitive function."
Consequences of space radiation on the brain and cardiovascular system. (J Environ Sci Health C Toxicol Carcinog, 2021)
[48] supported · scholarly source
A meta-analysis of 189 astronauts recorded an average 6.2% loss of lumbar spine bone mineral density over six months, with incomplete recovery at twelve months.
"recorded a mean lumbar spine BMD reduction of 6.2% over six months, with incomplete recovery at twelve months"
PARASPINAL MUSCLE ATROPHY AND INTERVERTEBRAL DISC DEGENERATION UNDER LONG-DURATION MICROGRAVITY: IMPLICATIONS FOR HUMAN MISSIONS TO MARS (2025)
[49] supported · primary source
The combined effects of spaceflight stressors on the immune system during spaceflight remain less understood than their individual effects studied in ground-based analogues.
"their combined effects during spaceflight remain less understood"
Astroimmunology: the effects of spaceflight and its associated stressors on the immune system. (Nat Rev Immunol, 2026 Mar)
[50] supported · primary source
Research on space radiation's role in cardiovascular dysfunction is still at an early stage.
"However, research on the role of space radiation in potentiating cardiovascular dysfunction is still in its early stages."
Consequences of space radiation on the brain and cardiovascular system. (J Environ Sci Health C Toxicol Carcinog, 2021)
[51] supported · scholarly source
Estimated lumbar vertebral compressive strength fell by an average of 10% after 6-month missions, according to finite-element estimates from quantitative CT.
"estimated lumbar vertebral compressive strength fell by an average of 10% after 6-month missions"
PARASPINAL MUSCLE ATROPHY AND INTERVERTEBRAL DISC DEGENERATION UNDER LONG-DURATION MICROGRAVITY: IMPLICATIONS FOR HUMAN MISSIONS TO MARS (2025)
[52] documented · primary source
Astronauts on deep space voyages face exposure to high-energy particles from solar flares and galactic cosmic rays, which carries risks to the central nervous system that could jeopardize the mission and astronaut health.
"This exposure carries risks to the central nervous system (CNS) that could jeopardize the mission and astronaut health."
Microglia: Ally and Enemy in Deep Space. (Neurosci Biobehav Rev, 2021 Jul)
[53] documented · primary source
Prolonged spaceflight can cause physiological and pathological abnormalities in the central nervous system.
"Prolonged spaceflight can induce physiologic and pathologic abnormalities in the central nervous system (CNS)."
Oxidative stress, neuroinflammation, and the blood-brain barrier biomarkers on the brain response to spaceflight. (Life Sci Space Res (Amst), 2024 Nov)
[54] supported · scholarly source
The spinal deconditioning score used in the paper does not yet include a radiation term, so it does not account for cosmic radiation effects on the spine.
"The SDI in its current form does not include a radiation-driven term, and this is a limitation that reflects the state of the evidence rather than a judgment that radiation is unimportant."
PARASPINAL MUSCLE ATROPHY AND INTERVERTEBRAL DISC DEGENERATION UNDER LONG-DURATION MICROGRAVITY: IMPLICATIONS FOR HUMAN MISSIONS TO MARS (2025)
[55] supported · primary source
In rodent studies, simulated galactic cosmic ray exposure induces a maladaptive activation of microglia, the brain's resident immune cells.
"Multiple studies have shown that GCR simulation induces a maladaptive activation of microglia - the brain-resident immune cells."
Microglia: Ally and Enemy in Deep Space. (Neurosci Biobehav Rev, 2021 Jul)
[56] supported · primary source
The space environment that affects the brain includes microgravity, physiological and psychological stress, and radiation from galactic cosmic rays and solar particle events outside low Earth orbit.
"including microgravity, physiological/psychological stress, and radiation from galactic cosmic rays (GCR) and solar particle events (SPEs) outside of low earth orbit (LEO)"
Oxidative stress, neuroinflammation, and the blood-brain barrier biomarkers on the brain response to spaceflight. (Life Sci Space Res (Amst), 2024 Nov)
[57] supported · primary source
Simulated galactic cosmic ray exposure in rodents caused synaptic changes that resulted in lasting cognitive and behavioral defects.
"GCR simulation also induced synaptic changes resulting in lasting cognitive and behavioral defects."
Microglia: Ally and Enemy in Deep Space. (Neurosci Biobehav Rev, 2021 Jul)
[58] supported · primary source
Oxidative stress from spaceflight or other stressors may disrupt the blood-brain barrier, increasing its permeability, which lets immune cells infiltrate and causes neuroinflammation.
"Oxidative stress or other environmental stressors may disrupt BBB integrity and increase permeability leading to immune cell infiltration and undesirable neuroinflammation."
Oxidative stress, neuroinflammation, and the blood-brain barrier biomarkers on the brain response to spaceflight. (Life Sci Space Res (Amst), 2024 Nov)
[59] supported · primary source
Female and male mice respond differently to galactic cosmic ray exposure, and this sex difference appears linked to microglia.
"Female and male mice show different susceptibilities to GCR exposure, and evidence suggests this sexually dimorphic response is linked to microglia."
Microglia: Ally and Enemy in Deep Space. (Neurosci Biobehav Rev, 2021 Jul)
[60] documented · primary source
Manipulating microglia can prevent cognitive deficits in male mice exposed to components of galactic cosmic rays.
"Manipulating microglia can prevent the development of cognitive deficits in male mice exposed to components of GCR."
Microglia: Ally and Enemy in Deep Space. (Neurosci Biobehav Rev, 2021 Jul)
[61] supported · established source
NASA delayed the Artemis II crewed lunar fly-by launch by at least a month after testing uncovered problems.
"NASA has delayed the launch of its Artemis II lunar fly-by mission by at least a month."
NASA delays launch of Artemis II lunar mission by a month : NPR
[62] supported · reference source
The Soviet N1-L3 lunar landing schedule listed a first crewed landing for September 1968, which never happened.
"10L: First crewed lunar landing (September 1968)"
Soviet crewed lunar programs
[63] supported · reference source
When the robotic Blue Moon lander was first revealed in March 2017, its first lunar landing mission was projected for 2020, a date that passed without a landing.
"At that time, the first lunar landing mission was projected to take place in 2020."
Blue Moon (spacecraft)
[64] supported · established source
The Artemis I uncrewed test flight was delayed by several months in 2022 by recurring hydrogen leaks, an earlier precedent for the current problem.
"Most importantly, the test revealed NASA still has not fully resolved recurring hydrogen leaks that delayed the launch of the unpiloted Artemis I test flight by several months in 2022."
Unable to tame hydrogen leaks, NASA delays launch of Artemis II until ...
[65] supported · established source
The delay came from problems found during a pre-launch wet dress rehearsal, which kept the test from being completed.
"During critical pre-launch testing Monday, mission managers uncovered a number of issues that prevented the completion of the test."
NASA delays launch of Artemis II lunar mission by a month : NPR
[66] supported · reference source
Korolev's death in 1966, along with technical, administrative, and financial problems, caused both Soviet lunar programs to be delayed.
"Korolev's death in 1966, along with various technical and administrative reasons, as well as a lack of financial support, resulted in both programs being delayed."
Soviet crewed lunar programs
[67] supported · established source
NASA had hoped to launch Artemis II as soon as February 8, but the launch slipped after a fueling test uncovered hydrogen leaks.
"Going into the countdown rehearsal, NASA officials hoped a smooth test would clear the way to launch the Artemis II mission as soon as Sunday, February 8."
Unable to tame hydrogen leaks, NASA delays launch of Artemis II until ...
[68] supported · reference source
A failed N1 launch in July 1969, made to upstage Apollo 11, destroyed the rocket and launch complex and delayed the N1-L3 program by two years.
"resulted in the destruction of the rocket and the entire launch complex, which delayed the N1-L3 program for two years."
Soviet crewed lunar programs
[69] supported · reference source
Design work on the Blue Origin robotic lunar lander began in 2016, roughly four years before its first projected landing date.
"Design work on a Blue Origin robotic lunar lander began in 2016."
Blue Moon (spacecraft)
[70] supported · established source
The Artemis II hydrogen leak appeared in the same location that leaked during the Artemis I launch campaign nearly three years earlier.
"The leak appeared in the same location it did during the Artemis I launch campaign nearly three years ago."
Unable to tame hydrogen leaks, NASA delays launch of Artemis II until ...
[71] supported · established source
Hydrogen leaks had also plagued the earlier uncrewed Artemis I mission, so this is a recurring problem for the program.
"Hydrogen leaks plagued testing of NASA's Artemis I mission in 2022."
NASA delays launch of Artemis II lunar mission by a month : NPR
[72] supported · reference source
The Proton-based Zond crewed lunar flyby program was canceled in 1970.
"The Proton-based Zond program was canceled in 1970"
Soviet crewed lunar programs
[73] supported · established source
Hydrogen gas concentrations exceeded NASA's safety limit several times during the practice countdown, and the safe limit was set at 4 percent concentration in the housing around the fueling connector.
"Agency officials said in 2022 that the safe limit was a 4 percent concentration of hydrogen gas in the housing around the fueling connector. Hydrogen levels exceeded NASA’s safety limit multiple times during the practice countdown that ran from Monday into early Tuesday."
Unable to tame hydrogen leaks, NASA delays launch of Artemis II until ...
[74] supported · established source
A valve on the Orion capsule that pressurizes the vehicle needed extra attention and took longer than expected to close the hatch.
"A valve that pressurizes the vehicle required additional attention and took more time to close the hatch than anticipated."
NASA delays launch of Artemis II lunar mission by a month : NPR
[75] supported · reference source
The N1-L3 crewed lunar program was canceled in May 1974, after its planned launches never flew crewed missions.
"However, N1-L3 (as well as N1F-L3M) program was canceled in May 1974"
Soviet crewed lunar programs
[76] supported · reference source
The Bigelow Commercial Space Station was scheduled for initial deployment in 2021, but the plan was suspended indefinitely after Bigelow temporarily laid off its entire staff during the COVID-19 pandemic.
"Bigelow Commercial Space Station or Space Complex Alpha , was a proposed private space habitat scheduled for 2021 initial deployment although this was suspended indefinitely as a result of Bigelow temporarily laying off their entire staff due to the COVID-19 pandemic ."
List of crewed spacecraft
[77] supported · established source
The practice countdown was halted at T-minus 5 minutes and 15 seconds because of a spike in the liquid hydrogen leak rate, so the launch date was pushed to March.
"NASA said the countdown terminated “due to a spike in the liquid hydrogen leak rate.”"
Unable to tame hydrogen leaks, NASA delays launch of Artemis II until ...
[78] supported · reference source
NASA's Gateway lunar space station, planned to be assembled starting from 2027, was cancelled to speed up production and launch of Artemis V and the NASA lunar base.
"Cancelled to speed up production and launch of the Artemis V and the NASA lunar base"
List of crewed spacecraft
[79] supported · reference source
The American X-20 Dyna-Soar spaceplane program began in 1957 and was cancelled in 1963 before it flew.
"The X-20 Dyna-Soar was a United States Air Force spaceplane intended to be used for military missions. The program to develop the spaceplane began in 1957 and was cancelled in 1963."
List of crewed spacecraft
[80] supported · reference source
The Soviet space shuttle Buran was cancelled after only one uncrewed orbital flight in 1988.
"Buran , a Soviet space shuttle cancelled after only one uncrewed orbital flight in 1988."
List of crewed spacecraft